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Decision Support Cycle

The preceding chapters describe the DSP's parts. This chapter is about running it: how to begin, how the modelling platform feeds it, and how a first pass becomes a refined one.

What this chapter covers

PageWhat you will find
How to Get StartedEntry points, starting conditions, and the three levels of application
Integration with IMPWhich IMP outputs each DSP stage draws on, stage by stage
DSP First PassRunning the six processes end to end for the first time
Second Pass / RefinementOptioneering, optimisation and further evidence on a second iteration

Only one of the four is written in the source

Integration with IMP is documented in full and is substantial.

How to Get Started, DSP First Pass and Second Pass / Refinement exist in the source handbook as headings with fourteen empty sub-headings between them. Nothing has been written in their place.

Each page sets out what the section should contain and links to the material elsewhere in the handbook that partially answers it. In the case of the two pass pages, most of the substance does exist within Technical processes; what is missing is the account that joins it up.

Why it is a cycle

The six process flows run from understanding the current system through to learning from outcomes, and then feeding that learning back into future decisions.

Three properties make it a cycle rather than a sequence:

PropertyWhere it is stated
Outputs travel backwards as well as forwardsA process output informs subsequent or preceding processes. See definition of a process
Every stage iterates internallyAll five documented processes carry their own iteration section
The last stage feeds the firstOutcome Assessment writes back to the Asset Registry, which is where evaluation begins

Iteration has a stopping rule

Iterating without a stopping rule is just indecision. The handbook gives one, in Asset / Network Evaluation: iteration continues until the evidence is sufficient to support progression to the next stage, and complete certainty is not the target.

The relationship with the IMP in one view

The DSP and the IMP are the two halves of TPRAF. The DSP defines what needs deciding; the IMP supplies the quantified evidence.

DSPIMP
RoleThe decision-making structureThe analytical capability
ProducesThe questionsThe evidence
Can run alone?Yes, where sufficient evidence already existsYes, its components can be used independently

The two are at their most useful together, because that is what allows decisions to rest on quantified evidence rather than assumptions alone.

Full detail, including which IMP outputs each of the six DSP stages draws on, is in Integration with IMP.