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Further reading

Data sources

SourceProvides
National Highways WebTRISObserved traffic speeds and volumes at Strategic Road Network sensor sites
Met Office MIDAS-OpenObserved rainfall
National Highways open data, via the Travel Time Reporting ToolRoad characteristics

All three are openly published. See inputs for how each is used.

Methodological literature

Transport-system resilience

ReferenceCovers
Mattsson and Jenelius (2015)Transport-system resilience
Ganin et al. (2017)Transport-system resilience

These are the same two works underpinning the resilience framing in performance metrics, where resilience is defined as maintaining or restoring performance under disruptive conditions.

Rainfall and driving speed

ReferenceCovers
Hranač et al. (2006)Traffic flow under inclement weather
Becker, Ulbrich and Rust (2026)The effect of rainfall on driving speed

These establish the empirical basis the model builds on: that rainfall systematically reduces traffic speed. The GLM's contribution is estimating that effect per link rather than in general.

Outstanding items

Two things should be resolved before publication:

  • The GLM acronym is never expanded in the handbook. It most likely denotes a Generalised Linear Model, but this needs confirming.
  • Only the "Explain" stage of the framework is named. The other stages are implied but not described, so the method cannot currently be followed end to end from this chapter alone.

Full bibliography

A consolidated reference list for the whole handbook is in the References chapter.